Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 9.165858 10.465702 11.892136 13.574947 15.507711 17.660168 20.242023
2025-11-30 7.650184 9.409231 11.492876 14.148225 17.449985 21.430624 26.609456
2025-12-07 6.633289 8.598677 11.056263 14.365317 18.720863 24.280874 31.953563
2025-12-14 5.819550 7.874138 10.559477 14.342282 19.560535 26.544549 36.666558
2025-12-21 5.157225 7.240404 10.069068 14.212824 20.166910 28.471493 41.035568
2025-12-28 4.821740 7.000317 10.063091 14.713053 21.648759 31.696292 47.511452
2026-01-04 4.498114 6.732293 9.973969 15.058537 22.905882 34.676137 53.890447
2026-01-11 4.258631 6.556758 9.990640 15.543008 24.390558 38.100915 61.263387
2026-01-18 3.847919 6.076881 9.496582 15.179760 24.501080 39.378732 65.309094
2026-01-25 3.517148 5.688993 9.105084 14.931303 24.752152 40.872845 69.815795
2026-02-01 3.230111 5.343962 8.747954 14.697705 24.990322 42.341771 74.387885
2026-02-08 2.977438 5.032439 8.416330 14.470532 25.205893 43.770137 78.996772
2026-02-15 2.734229 4.719722 8.061845 14.180667 25.299200 45.017255 83.453480
2026-02-22 2.664903 4.700601 8.205557 14.776583 27.021973 49.312390 93.991658
2026-03-01 2.541772 4.574902 8.150211 15.003873 28.082235 52.480418 102.687914
2026-03-08 2.392131 4.388312 7.969334 14.979765 28.660812 54.784466 109.904125
2026-03-15 2.240482 4.185389 7.741440 14.844300 29.006779 56.660486 116.428612
2026-03-22 2.188718 4.165613 7.851532 15.367756 30.690357 61.307907 129.150766
2026-03-29 2.119219 4.105792 7.879657 15.729303 32.075590 65.471343 141.267168
2026-04-05 2.070946 4.083234 7.977055 16.236326 33.801259 70.484195 155.748119
2026-04-12 1.926505 3.857918 7.656832 15.856166 33.623077 71.461785 161.303487
2026-04-19 1.806458 3.673142 7.404201 15.596152 33.677657 72.938381 168.139379
2026-04-26 1.697254 3.502690 7.168200 15.351695 33.742867 74.438215 175.173676